Analysis and odds prediction for Brighton vs Liverpool at 19:30 on March 21. Forecast of the result, expected lineup, expert analysis of the match between Brighton and Liverpool in Premier League Round 31.
Brighton enters Round 31 positioned 12th in the standings with 40 points after 30 matches. Their recent form is relatively positive with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games. In the previous round, Brighton defeated Sunderland 1-0 away, showing clear improvement after a prolonged slump earlier. Meanwhile, Liverpool is in 5th place with 49 points, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. However, the 1-1 draw against Tottenham prevented them from breaking away in the top 4 race.
Regarding scoring capability, Danny Welbeck is Brighton's top scorer with 10 goals, while Hugo Ekitike leads Liverpool's attack with 11 goals scored. This indicates both teams have notable sharp attacking points, promising an open contest. However, the head-to-head history leans heavily towards Liverpool, as they have won 4 of the last 5 encounters, including a 3-0 victory in February 2026.

Brighton's home statistics show they have scored 22 goals and conceded 16, averaging 1.47 goals scored per match. Liverpool's away performance is similar in scoring but they concede more with 1.53 goals per match, indicating their defense isn't entirely solid. Notably, in the last 9 encounters, 6 matches ended with 2 or 3 goals, with the 3-goal result being the most frequent.
Brighton stands out for discipline, having received no red cards this season, while Liverpool belongs to the group with the most shots in the league at 475. Additionally, the away team also has the fewest fouls committed, showing a controlled style of play that limits physical clashes.
Regarding form streaks, Liverpool has scored in 8 of their last 9 away matches against Brighton and remained unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games. Conversely, Brighton has lost 5 of their last 6 meetings with Liverpool. Nevertheless, the hosts at Amex Stadium still have grounds for confidence, having won 2 of their last 3 home games against this opponent.
After an impressive victory in the Champions League, Liverpool is in good spirits and rated higher. However, Brighton has also shown signs of revival and could pose difficulties, especially at home. This is likely to be a balanced match, but Liverpool holds a slight edge in experience and composure.
Brighton: Stefanos Tzimas, Adam Webster long-term injuries; Kaoru Mitoma and Carlos Baleba availability uncertain.
Liverpool: Alexander Isak, Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, Wataru Endo injured; Mohamed Salah's participation not confirmed.
Brighton: Verbruggen; Lamptey, Dunk, Van Hecke, Estupinan; Gross, Ayari, Hinshelwood; Minteh, Welbeck, Gomez.
Liverpool: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Konate, Robertson; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Jones; Gakpo, Ekitike, Diaz.
14/03/2026: Sunderland 0-1 Brighton (Premier League)
05/03/2026: Brighton 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League)
01/03/2026: Brighton 2-1 Nottingham (Premier League)
21/02/2026: Brentford 0-2 Brighton (Premier League)
15/02/2026: Liverpool 3-0 Brighton (FA Cup)
19/03/2026: Liverpool 4-0 Galatasaray (Champions League)
15/03/2026: Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham (Premier League)
11/03/2026: Galatasaray 1-0 Liverpool (Champions League)
07/03/2026: Wolves 1-3 Liverpool (FA Cup)
04/03/2026: Wolves 2-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
15/02/2026: Liverpool 3-0 Brighton (FA Cup)
13/12/2025: Liverpool 2-0 Brighton (Premier League)
20/05/2025: Brighton 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
02/11/2024: Liverpool 2-1 Brighton (Premier League)
31/10/2024: Brighton 2-3 Liverpool (EFL Cup)
Liverpool holds advantages in head-to-head record and squad quality, while Brighton, despite improvement, remains unstable against top opponents.