Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Preview (03:00, March 23). Prediction of the result, expected lineups, expert analysis for the match between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid in La Liga Round 29.
The highlight match of La Liga Round 29 will be a fiery showdown at the Santiago Bernabeu between the two Madrid giants. Real Madrid enters the derby under immense pressure as they chase Barcelona in the title race. If Barcelona defeats Rayo Vallecano in the early match, the gap could temporarily widen to 7 points, forcing coach Alvaro Arbeloa's team to avoid any slip-up if they wish to keep pace with their rivals.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid
The form of "Los Blancos" is very stable with four consecutive victories across all competitions, including overcoming Manchester City to reach the Champions League quarter-finals. In La Liga, the Bernabeu remains a strong fortress, with Real winning 12 of their 14 home matches this season. The Royal club is also eager to settle the debt of the 5-2 defeat in the first leg, having partially restored pride with a 2-1 win in the Spanish Super Cup earlier this year.
On the Atletico Madrid side, Diego Simeone's squad, while having fewer chances to compete for the title (13 points behind Barcelona), maintains a solid position within the top four. Atletico is having a busy season, having secured a Champions League quarter-final spot and preparing for the Copa del Rey final in April.
History favors "Los Rojiblancos" in La Liga derbies at the Bernabeu, as Real Madrid has not defeated their city rivals at home since December 2021. Atletico's resilience and Julian Alvarez's knack for scoring in big matches – he has 17 goals this season – will pose a major challenge for Real's depleted defense.
Real Madrid: The absent list still includes Eder Militao, Dani Ceballos, Rodrygo, and Thibaut Courtois. However, the biggest positive news is that Kylian Mbappe is ready to start after returning from the bench against Man City. Jude Bellingham has also resumed training and could be available on the bench. Alaba and Ferland Mendy are also possibilities for a return.
Atletico Madrid: Pablo Barrios and Rodrigo Mendoza are absent due to injury. First-choice goalkeeper Jan Oblak still has hip issues, likely meaning Juan Musso will continue to be trusted. In attack, Alexander Sorloth could start instead of Griezmann to utilize his physical presence.
Real Madrid (4-3-1-2): Lunin; Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Huijsen, Carreras; Camavinga, Tchouameni, Valverde; Guler; Mbappe, Vinicius
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Musso; Molina, Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri; Simeone, Llorente, Cardoso, Lookman; Sorloth, Alvarez
18/03/26: Man City 1-2 Real Madrid (Champions League)
15/03/26: Real Madrid 4-1 Elche (La Liga)
12/03/26: Real Madrid 3-0 Man City (Champions League)
07/03/26: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
03/03/26: Real Madrid 0-1 Getafe (La Liga)
19/03/26: Tottenham 3-2 Atletico Madrid (Champions League)
14/03/26: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe (La Liga)
11/03/26: Atletico Madrid 5-2 Tottenham (Champions League)
08/03/26: Atletico Madrid 3-2 Real Sociedad (La Liga)
04/03/26: Barcelona 3-0 Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
09/01/26: Atletico 1-2 Real Madrid (Spanish Super Cup)
27/09/25: Atletico 5-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
13/03/25: Atletico 1-1 Real Madrid (Champions League)
05/03/25: Real Madrid 2-1 Atletico (Champions League)
The Madrid derby is always tightly contested and intense. Although Real Madrid has struggled to defeat Atletico at the Bernabeu in recent years, the return of Kylian Mbappe combined with Vinicius Junior's excellent form could be the key to changing history. With the imperative to win to keep chasing Barcelona, "Los Blancos" are likely to secure a narrow victory against the fierce resistance of the red-and-white striped team.