After the Sunshine Double, the world tennis spotlight will move to Europe. The yearly European clay season is about to begin, and the competition for the top spot will become increasingly fierce. The defending points situation for the top four men's players in clay tournaments is as follows:
Alcaraz: Monte Carlo, Barcelona, Rome, French Open; 1000+330+1000+2000=4330
Alcaraz was undoubtedly the biggest winner in last season's clay events. He only lost to Rune in the Barcelona final, which occurred when he was injured. Except for the Madrid Masters, which was close to the Barcelona tournament, and where the two-time champion withdrew from his home-country Masters for precautionary reasons, he triumphed in the other three major tournaments. Therefore, he faces immense pressure to defend his points; any slip-up could result in Sinner taking over the world No. 1 position.

Last year, Alcaraz defeated Fils twice at Monte Carlo and Barcelona, with the Barcelona semifinal being rated as one of the best matches of the year. He also beat Musetti and Sinner in the semifinals and finals of Rome and the French Open respectively.
Sinner: Rome, French Open; 650+1300=1950
Sinner missed the Monte Carlo and Madrid Masters due to a doping incident, ultimately choosing to return at his home tournament, the Rome Masters. He also delivered his best clay season performance to date, reaching the finals of the French Open and Rome.

In comparison, if he achieves results in this year's European clay season that are not inferior to Alcaraz's同期 performance, he is likely to replace Alcaraz and reclaim the world No. 1 throne by the end of the French Open at the latest. During his journey to last year's runner-up finishes in these two major tournaments, Sinner also defeated Djokovic, Ruud, and Cerundolo among other clay specialists.
Djokovic: Monte Carlo and Madrid both first-round exits, Geneva, French Open semifinals; 800+250+10+10=1070
Djokovic's performance in the three major clay tournaments has been average in recent years. Last year, he exited in the first round at both Monte Carlo and Madrid, didn't play Rome, and eventually chose to enter the Geneva tournament with a wildcard to warm up for the French Open. However, losing in one area led to gains elsewhere; he achieved his 100th career title here.

Zverev: Monte Carlo first-round exit, Munich, Madrid R16, Rome quarterfinals, Hamburg R16, French Open quarterfinals; 10+500+100+200+50+400=1260
Zverev is widely recognized as a clay court expert. If there is one Grand Slam where he has the best chance to contend for the title, it is the French Open. However, his performance last year was not convincing. Although he won his only tour title of the year at his home tournament, his results in major events were notably weak.
Djokovic, who faces the least defending points pressure, has already withdrawn from Monte Carlo. The world No. 1 battle will intensify during the clay season. How much chance does Zverev, who has been engaging in verbal sparring recently but has limited opportunities left, really have?Source: Tennis Home Author: Luo Cheng Qi Ye